Should We Expect A New Year Covid Spike After Christmas?

With Christmas and New Year on the way, some experts are worried about rising Covid situations – and if and when we might see a spike.

Professor Tim Spector, head of the Zoe Covid app study, says that Covid situations are set to stay “fairly flat” in the run up to Christmas, but likely to increase in the New Year.

“It looks like it’s going to stay fairly flat – hopefully not get worse before Christmas,” he told Sky News. “After that, I think it will get worse again.”

Currently, there isn’t much difference in case rates regionally, he additional, and any meaningful rise would be caused by children infecting unvaccinated children.

Expanding on those comments to HuffPost UK, he said: “Cases might go up in younger people before Christmas, but it’s going to take a while before it gets to the older groups. And the young, and the old will mix at Christmas.

“That’s what will cause more probably more [hospital] admissions. So I think it’s more about the admissions rate. That will probably go up after Christmas.”

However, Professor Paul Hunter, an expert in infectious diseases at the University of East Anglia, says the issue is complicate and that we can’t be sure whether infections will continue to increase.

“We have seen for the past few months case numbers being a big like a fair ground ride going up one week, going down the next, but generally drifting upwards,” he tells HuffPost UK.

“This indicates to me that we are close to the endemic equilibrium value and so it gets very difficult to predict what will happen already a week or so later. ”



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